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NBA Picks 4/13/2022

NBA Play of the Day: Spurs +5.5


The models like the Spurs in this one. The first thing that stood out to me are the turnover stats. The Spurs are ranked first in the NBA in taking care of the basketball and are ranked 5th when it comes to forcing turnovers while the Pels are middle of the pack when it comes to taking care of the ball and forcing turnovers. Another thing that stands out is Pace. The Spurs play at a 102.7 pace, ranked 5th in the league while the Pels play slower at 99 possessions per 48 min. One stat that is somewhat concerning is the Pels offensive rebounding. They are ranked third, grabbing 29% of their misses. The Spurs can struggle on the defensive glass, ranked 28th, grabbing 74.4% of their opponents misses. If the Pels are able to get a bunch of second chance opportunities, it could be trouble for the Spurs. However, I'm riding with my models and locking in the Spurs +5.5. BOL


4/12 Recap: +1 unit

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